水文学: 現在の研究

Prediction of Stream Flow and Sediment Yield of Lolab Watershed Using SWAT Model

Abstract

Sarvat Gull, Ahangar MA and Ayaz Mohmood Dar

The SWAT model was used to estimate the runoff and sediment yield of Lolab watershed. The model was calibrated, validated, and assessed for evaluation to model ambiguity using Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). Ten highly sensitive parameters were recognized for stream flow simulation of which CN2 (Initial SCS CN II value) factor was the most sensitive one and four highly sensitive parameters were recognized for sediment yield simulation of which SPCON (Linear parameters for sediment re-entrainment) was most sensitive one. The model was calibrated for a time period between 1993 to 2000 and validated from 2001 to 2004 for flow and sediment yield. The predicted and observed stream flow and sediment yields generally matched well. The results of the model calibration and validation showed reliable estimates of monthly stream flow (R2=0.74 and ENS=0.68) and yearly stream flow (R2=0.90 and ENS=0.68) during the calibration period and monthly stream-flow (R2=0.85 and ENS=0.83) and yearly stream-flow (R2=0.99 and ENS=0.91) during the validation period. For sediment yield, this study shows antremendous model efficiency of monthly sediment yield (R2=0.80 and ENS=0.79) and yearly sediment yield (R2=0.86 and ENS=0.78) during the calibration period and monthly sediment yield (R2=0.88 and ENS=0.86) and yearly sediment yield (R2=0.83 and ENS=0.58) during the validation period. This study showed that the SWAT model is competent of predicting sediment yields and hence can be used as a tool for water resources planning and management in the study watershed.